Why I don’t think the USG will default

Public debt ratios in Portugal and Greece have declined at an unprecedented pace from their pandemic peak. via @DanielKral1 pic.twitter.com/D6Dux8zJsL — Philipp Heimberger (@heimbergecon) April 27, 2024 Greece of course did break the bank, but note the United States is much riche … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 1 day ago

Saturday assorted links

1. NYT obituary for Michael Jensen. 2. Brain-like computer with water and salt? 3. More on the economics of non-compete agreements. 4. Chile is on a path to TFR of 1.0, and soon. 5. Women now author a majority of the U.S. books published. 6. Jail sentence for climate activist who … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 1 day ago

Culture splat (a few broad spoilers)

Challengers is a good and original movie. Imagine a 2024 rom com, except the behavior and conventions actually are taken from 2024, and with no apologies. The woman says the word “****ing” a lot, and no one treats this as inappropriate or unusual. There is bisexuality and poly. S … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 1 day ago

*Native Nations*

The author is Kathleen Duval, and the subtitle is A Millennium in North America. This is an excellent book. Here is one excerpt, strung together by me from three separate pages: By 1400, the cities of Cahokia, Moundville, and the Huhugam were abandoned. People continued to live n … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 1 day ago

Friday assorted links

1. Nandan Nilekani’s vision for the “Finternet” is to enable individuals to transfer any financial asset, in any amount, at any time, to anyone, anywhere in the world—cheaply, securely, and near-instantaneously. Andy Mukherjee summarizes it here. 2. Claims about Chinese LLMs. And … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 2 days ago

Post correction and retraction

Apologies! I took down my post based on this tweet, which upon further reflection struck me as premature. Does anyone have actual word from the would-be co-author as to what happened? Note that sometimes individuals don’t want to be co-authors on particular papers, especially if … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 2 days ago

Hassan Sayed, banned from Princeton?

Hassan Sayed, a fifth year PhD candidate in economics, it seems was banned from Princeton. Ostensibly for partaking in illegal demonstrations. I am not saying whether this is justified or not, as I do not know the circumstances. I can assure you I am fine with “being tough on stu … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 2 days ago

The work culture that is German, something about France too

In Germany, robots must obey the sabbath pic.twitter.com/vphLpXAA0e — Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) April 25, 2024 As for Canada, “Justice Minister defends house arrest power for people feared to commit a hate crime in future.“ The post The work culture that is German, somethi … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 2 days ago

Trade reform and economic growth

From the excellent Doug Irwin: Do trade reforms that significantly reduce import barriers lead to faster economic growth? In the twenty-five years since Rodríguez and Rodrik’s (2000) critical survey of empirical work on this question, new research has tried to overcome the variou … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 2 days ago

What should I ask Paul Bloom?

Yes I will be doing a Conversation with him. Here is Wikipedia: Paul Bloom…is a Canadian American psychologist. He is the Brooks and Suzanne Ragen Professor Emeritus of psychology and cognitive science at Yale University and Professor of Psychology at the University of Toronto. H … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 3 days ago

Thursday assorted links

1. Works in Progress will be running an “Invisible College” in Cambridge, UK. 2. How much was Britain already industrializing in the 17th century? 3. Something, something, blah blah blah, but probably interesting? Research article is here. 4. “We find that once the sales of forei … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 3 days ago

The Prisoner’s Dilemma of Non-Competes

I agree with Tyler, that the FTC ban on non-competes is overly broad and not tailored to fields where the drawbacks outweigh the benefits. Additionally, the FTC’s authority to enact this rule, rather than Congress, is questionable. Nevertheless, I don’t think banning non-competes … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 3 days ago

The Norwegian ban on smart phones in middle schools

Here is a new paper by Sara Abrahamsson. Perhaps there is Norwegian exceptionalism at work, but the results reflect my expectations reasonably closely. The basic setting is that smart phones were banned in middle school, but at varying (and exogenous) rates around the country. He … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 3 days ago

Why do I prefer current airport procedures?

Michael Stack writes me: “Hi Tyler – you wrote about preferring current airport procedures to pre-9/11 procedures. Do you plan to elaborate on this? I have a hard time understanding why you’d feel that way. Here is the list I produced – these are guesses as to why you might feel … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 3 days ago

It’s happening, Reid Hoffman AI twin edition, wwrgs?

Why did I deepfake myself? To see if conversing with an AI-generated version of myself can lead to self-reflection, new insights into my thought patterns, and deep truths. pic.twitter.com/DWODoZ9lXL — Reid Hoffman (@reidhoffman) April 24, 2024 The post It’s happening, Reid Hoffma … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 4 days ago

What is the proper policy toward tourists?

That is the topic of my latest Bloomberg column, basically you should charge them fees rather than discourage them through other means> Here is one excerpt: By this reasoning, the Japanese decision to raise bullet train prices for tourists is exactly the right approach. In the me … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 4 days ago

More Tuesday links

1. AI Camera turns your images into poetry. 2. Highly capable model locally on your phone. 3. Clara Piano reviews GOAT. “Perhaps, in his emphasis on the importance of ideas, Cowen reveals that he is ultimately a Simonian. After all, the human mind is the ultimate resource.” 4. Ma … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 5 days ago

Four Thousand Years of Egyptian Women Pictured

In an excellent, deep-dive Alice Evans looks at patriarchy in Egypt using pictures drawn from four thousand years of history. Here are three examples. A wealthy woman, shown at right circa 116 CE. Unveiled, immodest, looking out at the world. A person to be reckoned with. After t … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 5 days ago

Tuesday assorted links

1. A literalist reading of Civil War. 2. Why it is so hard to get a reservation nowadays (New Yorker). 3. “There are currently 682 #AI-related bills (581 of them in the states) on the @MultiStateAssoc legislative tracker.” Link here. 4. The econometrics of social media and mental … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 5 days ago

Hiring discrimination sentences to ponder

Several common measures — like employing a chief diversity officer, offering diversity training or having a diverse board — were not correlated with decreased discrimination in entry-level hiring, the researchers found. But one thing strongly predicted less discrimination: a cent … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 5 days ago

Convert String to OffsetDateTime

Learn why converting strings to OffsetDateTime objects is crucial for handling date and time in Java applications. | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 6 days ago

Implement the Builder Pattern in Java 8

Learn how to implement a Builder Pattern in Java 8. Related Stories Builder Pattern and Inheritance | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 6 days ago

Difference Between Casting to String and String.valueOf()

Discover when casting to String or using String.valueOf() is most useful. | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 6 days ago

Implement Update-Or-Insert in Spring Data JPA

Learn different approaches to performing update-or-insert operations using Spring Data JPA. | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 6 days ago

Seasonality and the Invention of Agriculture

Forthcoming from the QJE, here is a new paper by Andrea Matanga: The Neolithic revolution saw the independent development of agriculture among at least seven unconnected hunter-gatherer populations. I propose that the rapid spread of agricultural techniques resulted from increase … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 6 days ago

Monday assorted links

1. Are Indian women stronger relative supporters of Modi? 2. Apple to build on-device AI? 3. The remarkable economic recovery of Sri Lanka?. 4. “UK alcohol-related deaths up one-third on pre-pandemic levels…” (FT) 5. New Cass Sunstein book on campus free speech. 6. The Straussian … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 6 days ago

Deregulate our universities

Take a look at how the number of federal regulations and policies governing research at universities has dramatically increased over the years. This adding an enormous cost of doing research. (Source COGR) pic.twitter.com/ezqAsLUIIj — Denis Wirtz (@deniswirtz) April 20, 2024 Via … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 6 days ago

Tying the Knot

Dobbs, of course, was the Supreme Court decision saying that the constitution does not provide a right to abortion, thus leading to restrictions on abortion in many states. The pictures is from The Economist, the original paper is here. The post Tying the Knot appeared first on M … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 6 days ago

Arguments that (almost) everyone hates

These are usually worth pondering, as at the very least you will learn something. Here is a hate-worthy paragraph from an earlier Bloomberg column of mine: …note that higher real estate prices, to the extent they result from immigrant demands, largely translate into capital gains … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 6 days ago

Compress and Create a Byte Array Using GZip

Learn how to get the compressed data in a byte array when using the GZIP file format. | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 7 days ago

“Not a Managed Type” Exception in Spring Data JPA

Explore the reasons behind the “Not a Managed Type” Exception in Spring Data JPA. | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 7 days ago

Introduction to Simple Java Mail

Explore the process of setting up Simple Java Mail and learn how to send emails, including attachments and HTML content, handle exceptions, and more. | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 7 days ago

Guinea pig questions

If someone demographically normal and not especially at-risk wants to serve as a guinea pig, what is the optimal allocation of that resource? Is there any formal discussion of this question? I know they say “there is always an Effective Altruism blog post,” but is there? Mostly I … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 7 days ago

Sunday assorted links

1. Rasheed Griffith reggae playlist. 2. Poland got rid of compulsory homework for grade school. 3. Suicide rate trends for German teen females. 4. Important job ad for finding and cultivating talent in Brazil, no Portuguese required. 5. Plans for the REPO market? 6. Claims about … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 7 days ago

The game theory of the final round of the Candidates

The amazing Gukesh (17 years old!) is half a point ahead with one round remaining today. Three players — Nakamura, Caruana, and Nepo — trail him by half a point. Naka is playing Gukesh, and of course Naka will try to win. But what about Caruana vs. Nepo? Yes, each must try to win … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 7 days ago

What should I ask Alan Taylor?

He is one of the greatest of living American historians, here is from Wikipedia: Alan Shaw Taylor (born June 17, 1955) is an American historian and scholar who is the Thomas Jefferson Memorial Foundation Professor of History at the University of Virginia. A specialist in the earl … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 7 days ago

“The Simple Macroeconomics of AI”

That is the new Daron Acemoglu paper, and he is skeptical about its overall economic effects. Here is part of the abstract: Using existing estimates on exposure to AI and productivity improvements at the task level, these macroeconomic effects appear nontrivial but modest—no more … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 7 days ago

South Africa fact of the day

Two economists from the Harvard Growth Lab (Shah and Sturzenegger) estimate that the average transport costs for those who are employed in South Africa is equal to 57% of net wages when time to commute is accounted for. Here is the whole John McDermott tweet storm, in part that i … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 8 days ago

Saturday assorted links

1. Ross Douthat on whether the internet is the enemy of progress (NYT). 2. “This year, Sara and Justin Ilse finished building a floor for their home’s 230-square-foot entryway out of 65,507 pennies.” (WSJ) 3. Commentary on Zuck and Dwarkesh. 4. New open access book on Moonshots a … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 8 days ago

Decoupling from China?

Maybe, but maybe not: Amid the current U.S.-China technological race, the U.S. has imposed export controls to deny China access to strategic technologies. We document that these measures prompted a broad-based decoupling of U.S. and Chinese supply chains. Once their Chinese custo … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 8 days ago

The politics of *Civil War* (full of spoilers, do not read)

I saw the film as having very definite politics, and yes I am aware of the pronouncements of the director — ignore them! I am writing about the movie, what was on the screen. The seceding states — California, Texas, and Florida — all have substantial Latino population segments. T … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 8 days ago

Dwarkesh interviews Mark Zuckerberg on Llama 3 and more

The post Dwarkesh interviews Mark Zuckerberg on Llama 3 and more appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Comments In reply to Naveen K. Absolutely wild comment. Dwarkesh comes ... by Alan M In reply to Blixy. I like that by Hugh In reply to Naveen K. I am thought Dwarkesh was too … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 8 days ago

Friday assorted links

1. Andrej Karpathy on Llama 3. 2. The PEN awards are on the brink of collapse. 3. These were my fiscal, political and other predictions from 2010. 4. AI is being integrated into social media — now. Social media will change. 5. New Yorker Music critic Alex Ross cites Fischer Black … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 9 days ago

Why a Housing Shortage Exists Despite More Houses Per Person

When I post about the skyrocketing price of housing and the need to build, commentators (include some of the most astute commentators on MR), will sometimes object by pointing to the increasing and historically high number of houses per capita. They question how this aligns with … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 9 days ago

Java Weekly, Issue 538

Stream gatherers in Java 23, small additions in Spring, modern Jakarta EE, AOP logging, and Meta patterns! | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 9 days ago

What I am nostalgic about

With a group of friends I was having a chat about the merits of the current vs. past America. Battle of the Ancients and Moderns! I generally favor current times, but not unconditionally. So I promised them a list of what I missed from the past. To be clear, these are personal ju … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 9 days ago

Response from Devin Pope, on religious attendance

All of this is from Devin Pope, in response to Lyman Stone (and myself). Here was my original post on the paper, concerning the degree of religious attendance. I won’t double indent, but here is Devin and Devin alone: “I’m super grateful for Lyman’s willingness to engage with my … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 9 days ago

My excellent Conversation with Peter Thiel

Here is the audio, video, and transcript, along with almost thirty minutes of audience questions, filmed in Miami.  Here is the episode summary: Tyler and Peter Thiel dive deep into the complexities of political theology, including why it’s a concept we still need today, why Pete … | Continue reading


@feeds.feedblitz.com | 10 days ago